Two Decision Models, One Benchmark, Two Different Number Ones

Within three days, two companies announced a “decision model” and pointed at the same benchmark. On 7 October, H2O.ai’s model card for H2O-Lightning-4B said the 4B-parameter model is “#1 on the official Composite Score” of open-weight systems on JevBench v1.6.1. On 9 October, Microsoft announced Microsoft-Decision-1, calling it the most accurate model in a 36-benchmark comparison and the fastest measured, “2.5 times quicker than H2O-Lightning-4B v1.1, the runner-up.”

Both announcements lean on a benchmark most readers have never seen. I wrote about the model that gave it its name a few weeks ago: Jev’s “193.6 times faster” turned out to depend on which rival sat in the denominator. This time the open question is who runs the leaderboard, and what “#1” is a rank of.

What a decision model is scored on

Microsoft’s definition is compact: unlike a language model that writes text, a decision model is “purpose-built to deliver structured outputs that software can immediately act on.” You hand it a record and a fixed set of options, and it returns a probability for each. H2O’s card describes the same contract (choice, yes/no, and ordinal score) and says each decision is one forward pass and one output token, so the cost is input tokens only.

That contract produces four things worth scoring, and JevBench scores all of them. Its methodology page calls them intelligence (chance-corrected decision accuracy, with tier weighting), calibration (whether the probabilities mean what they say), speed, and cost. Two summary scores sit on top. Capability is the mean of intelligence and calibration, ranked only for systems within the board’s cost and latency caps. Composite is a weighted harmonic mean of all four, with equal 25% weights, and squared penalties when intelligence falls below 50 or speed or cost below 50.

The harmonic mean matters. It punishes a weak axis harder than an average would, which is why a small, cheap, fast model can beat a larger and smarter one on the composite while losing on capability.

Who runs JevBench

The leaderboard is run by Benchmark Heaven, which describes itself as maintained “independently of TypeSafe AI,” the company that built Jev. The site’s footer calls it “a hobby project” and says payments go to the “one-person company behind this project.” The scorer and the public benchmark repository are on GitHub under the name fstandhartinger.

That is not a criticism. It does shape what “official” can mean. The submit page says anyone can submit a model with no account; the queue is free, and a paid fast lane promises results within 48 hours. The release has 1,500 decisions, of which 1,200 are sealed and 300 public. Sealed questions and predictions are not downloadable, and the methodology page says “complete independent reruns of the sealed evaluation require the official evaluation process.” So the board ran H2O’s model itself, on held-out items. Public-split experiments and the composite arithmetic can be reproduced, but nobody outside the board can rerun the sealed evaluation. The change log records that H2O-Lightning-4B v1.1 was added on 7 October as an add-request, one of two Qwen3.5-4B fine-tunes measured that day.

So H2O’s “#1” is a leaderboard entry, not a self-run. The scores come from the board’s own measurement. The ranking, though, is a choice, and the next section shows how much room that choice has.

One row, four ranks

In the board’s published data, H2O-Lightning-4B v1.1 scores 72.5 on the composite, ahead of the Jev reference row at 71.5 and Quyet-1.0-Large at 71.4. On capability it scores 75.0 and ranks fifth among open-weight systems. Quyet-1.0-Large leads that list at 81.7, and the board’s own page says so: “Quyet-1.0-Large leads the Jev-class systems with 81.7.” The methodology page says the open-weights board “leads with Capability,” and the board’s FAQ calls the composite “secondary.”

H2O-Lightning-4B v1.1 rank under four JevBench orderings A rank strip from 1 to 8. H2O-Lightning-4B v1.1 is first on the composite score among open-weights systems, second on the composite when open and hosted API rows are merged, fifth on capability among open-weights systems, and seventh on capability with the rows merged. H2O-LIGHTNING-4B V1.1 · ONE MODEL, FOUR ORDERINGS · JEVBENCH V1.6.1 #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8 Composite, open-weights board Composite, open-weights board: rank 1 Composite, open and API rows merged Composite, open and API rows merged: rank 2 Capability, open-weights board Capability, open-weights board: rank 5 Capability, open and API rows merged Capability, open and API rows merged: rank 7 The board’s headline for open weights is capability. The model card leads with the composite.
Rank 1 and rank 7 are the same row on the same release. The label depends on which score and which set of rows you take.

H2O’s card leads with the composite. Microsoft’s chart labels the same model “#5 on JevBench” and Quyet “#1 on JevBench,” which is the capability ordering. Both are true statements about one board. “Official #1” is also an open-weights claim: when the data file merges the open and hosted-API rows, the same composite score ranks second, behind a hosted API row, Levanto’s Sage 1.3.0, at 74.0. Neither company misreports a number. Each picked the ordering that favors it, and both orderings are defensible readings of the same table.

JevBench scores for H2O-Lightning-4B v1.1, Jev 1.13.0 and Quyet-1.0-Large on four axes and two summary scores A dot plot on a 40 to 100 scale. Intelligence: H2O 60.0, Jev 63.6, Quyet 73.4. Calibration: 90.0, 90.6 and 90.0. Speed: 92.6, 91.5 and 86.9. Cost: 60.3, 54.7 and 50.5. Capability, the mean of intelligence and calibration: 75.0, 77.1 and 81.7. Composite, the harmonic-mean score: 72.5, 71.5 and 71.4. Quyet leads on intelligence and capability; H2O leads on speed, cost and composite. JEVBENCH V1.6.1 · THREE SYSTEMS · AXES, THEN THE TWO SUMMARY SCORES H2O-Lightning-4B v1.1 Jev 1.13.0 (reference row) Quyet-1.0-Large 40 60 80 100 Intelligence H2O-Lightning-4B v1.1, Intelligence: 60.0 (JevBench v1.6.1) 60.0 Jev 1.13.0, Intelligence: 63.6 (JevBench v1.6.1) 63.6 Quyet-1.0-Large, Intelligence: 73.4 (JevBench v1.6.1) 73.4 Calibration H2O-Lightning-4B v1.1, Calibration: 90.0 (JevBench v1.6.1) 90.0 Jev 1.13.0, Calibration: 90.6 (JevBench v1.6.1) 90.6 Quyet-1.0-Large, Calibration: 90.0 (JevBench v1.6.1) 90.0 Speed H2O-Lightning-4B v1.1, Speed: 92.6 (JevBench v1.6.1) 92.6 Jev 1.13.0, Speed: 91.5 (JevBench v1.6.1) 91.5 Quyet-1.0-Large, Speed: 86.9 (JevBench v1.6.1) 86.9 Cost H2O-Lightning-4B v1.1, Cost: 60.3 (JevBench v1.6.1) 60.3 Jev 1.13.0, Cost: 54.7 (JevBench v1.6.1) 54.7 Quyet-1.0-Large, Cost: 50.5 (JevBench v1.6.1) 50.5 Capability H2O-Lightning-4B v1.1, Capability: 75.0 (JevBench v1.6.1) 75.0 Jev 1.13.0, Capability: 77.1 (JevBench v1.6.1) 77.1 Quyet-1.0-Large, Capability: 81.7 (JevBench v1.6.1) 81.7 Composite H2O-Lightning-4B v1.1, Composite: 72.5 (JevBench v1.6.1) 72.5 Jev 1.13.0, Composite: 71.5 (JevBench v1.6.1) 71.5 Quyet-1.0-Large, Composite: 71.4 (JevBench v1.6.1) 71.4 Capability = mean of intelligence and calibration. Composite = harmonic mean of all four. Benchmark Heaven, v1.6.1.
Quyet-1.0-Large wins on intelligence and capability, the board's headline. H2O-Lightning-4B wins on speed, cost and the composite. Same three rows, same release.

The 4B model’s strength is specific. Its calibration (90.0) matches the 31B Quyet’s, it is faster and cheaper than the larger models, and it gives up 13 points of intelligence to get there. The cost figure is also a labeled estimate: the board carried a cost measured for the earlier v1.0 across to v1.1, as it does for every Qwen3.5-4B row.

What Microsoft actually measured

Microsoft-Decision-1 is a post-trained Qwen3.5-9B, available in Foundry and on OpenRouter, and Microsoft says it will be rebased on other models, including MAI and OpenAI ones. The headline accuracy is 83.5%, a mean across 36 benchmarks and 147,137 questions that Microsoft chose, with some public and some private. The article says they were “kept blind from training,” which I can’t check, since the private ones aren’t published. In its chart, Jev sits at 82.3, Quyet at 81.9, and H2O at 77.2, seventh of the eight ranked rows. The margin over Jev is 1.2 points, and the article gives no interval. On calibration, Microsoft’s own chart puts its model third, 1.5 behind Jev.

An update note says the post was revised “to add benchmarks for Jev on accuracy and calibration.” The first version, in other words, left Jev’s accuracy and calibration off the chart.

I found no Microsoft-Decision-1 row on the JevBench boards. The published data file for v1.6.1 has no Microsoft decision model, as of 9 October. Its only Microsoft-origin rows are untuned base-model controls such as raw Phi-4 mini. Microsoft says it “took several of the top public models on the popular open leaderboard JevBench” and ran them on 36 further benchmarks. That is a re-evaluation of other people’s models on a set of 36 benchmarks Microsoft assembled. It is a fair design for checking generalization, but the result is not a JevBench rank, and the article does not claim one.

The speed claim

The speed claim is the cleanest to check, because the chart’s footnote names its source: “JevBench v1.6.1 adjusted median (p50).” The board’s adjustment for self-hosted models is the measured time times two plus 0.15 seconds, which the data file labels “assumed.” For H2O-Lightning-4B the measured median is 29 ms; the adjusted figure is 209 ms, and Microsoft charts 210. Microsoft-Decision-1 was timed at 85 ms through Foundry.

Median latency in milliseconds as Microsoft charted it, and as JevBench measured it A dumbbell chart on a 0 to 400 millisecond axis. Microsoft-Decision-1 is charted at 85 ms, measured by Microsoft through Foundry. H2O-Lightning-4B is charted at 210 ms but measured at 29 ms. Jev 1.13.0 is charted at 240 ms, an API timing with no adjustment. Quyet-1.0-Large is charted at 380 ms but measured at 116 ms. The charted figures for self-hosted models are the board's adjusted figure, twice the measured time plus 0.15 seconds. MEDIAN LATENCY · AS CHARTED BY MICROSOFT VS. THE BOARD'S RAW MEASUREMENT as charted in Microsoft's article measured median in the JevBench data 0 ms 100 ms 200 ms 300 ms 400 ms Microsoft-Decision-1 Microsoft-Decision-1: 85 ms as charted 85 ms H2O-Lightning-4B H2O-Lightning-4B: 210 ms as charted H2O-Lightning-4B: 29 ms measured 29 → 210 ms Jev 1.13.0 Jev 1.13.0: 240 ms as charted 240 ms Quyet-1.0-Large Quyet-1.0-Large: 380 ms as charted Quyet-1.0-Large: 116 ms measured 116 → 380 ms Self-hosted rows charted at 2 x measured + 0.15 s ("assumed"). Microsoft-Decision-1 is not on the board. Hardware differs by row and some timings include a network hop: not one controlled comparison.
The "2.5 times quicker than the runner-up" rests on charting the runner-up at 210 ms. Its measured median is 29 ms, which is under half of Microsoft-Decision-1's 85.

Against the 210 ms figure, the ratio is 2.5. Against the board’s measured 29 ms, it inverts: H2O’s model is about 2.9 times quicker. The comparison is not clean in either direction. The 29 ms comes from the board’s own raw field, on that system’s hardware. Microsoft’s 85 ms includes a service call. Both raw and adjusted fields are in the board’s published data, which is where I checked the arithmetic.

Nor does the 35-times-faster-than-GPT-6-Sol figure depend on any of this; that comparison is against a generating model. The ranking against other decision models is where the adjustment matters.

What I’d take from it

A decision model is judged on more axes than a language model, and every axis has a knob: the weights, the caps, the latency basis, the set of rows, the benchmarks chosen. Each launch set those knobs in its own favor. One detail from the methodology page shows how young the field is: it notes that “another project named JevBench tests metamorphic coherence,” and that it is unrelated to this board. The name is already in use for two different things.

My reading is that H2O’s claim is the more defensible of the two, because it points at a row the board itself measured and publishes the arithmetic. It is also a claim about the secondary score. Microsoft’s accuracy lead rests on 36 benchmarks it picked, a 1.2-point margin, and a latency ratio that flips depending on which of the board’s two numbers you use. None of this means the Microsoft model is slow or inaccurate; 85 ms is fast. H2O’s rank is a third-party measurement, though of the secondary score on a board with a single maintainer. Microsoft’s “fastest” and its accuracy lead are self-run, and Microsoft-Decision-1 does not appear on the board. A submission would settle part of it.

References

  1. Srivastava, A. (2026). Introducing Microsoft-Decision-1, our model for fast decision-making. Microsoft Command Line, 9 October 2026. Includes the embedded accuracy, latency and calibration chart and an editor’s note on a later update; read 9 October 2026.
  2. H2O.ai (2026). H2O-Lightning-4B. Hugging Face model card, “#1 on JevBench” section dated 7 October 2026; read 9 October 2026.
  3. Benchmark Heaven (2026). JevBench open-weights leaderboard. Release v1.6.1; read 9 October 2026.
  4. Benchmark Heaven (2026). Decision model benchmark methodology, JevBench v1.6.1. Reviewed 9 October 2026.
  5. Benchmark Heaven (2026). Submit a model for evaluation. Read 9 October 2026.
  6. Benchmark Heaven (2026). JevBench latest aggregate data. Revision v1.6.1, artifact SHA-256 5cd8c1332226ea9c179883d2285c0d8b8cc593ae38f2645197364a7ddd9c83c1; source for the merged-row ranks, raw and adjusted latency fields and cost bases; read 9 October 2026.
  7. Gautam Parab (2026). Jev Is 5 to 200 Times Faster, Depending on the Denominator. 20 September 2026. Background.